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Strands of conversation on the election, part 1: causes

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Many theses have been advanced to explain Hillary Clinton’s shocking loss to Donald Trump last week.  In order to make sense of them, I have tried to gather what I think are most of the discrete ideas that are being discussed, with a sampling of the evidence for and occasionally against each.

In order for such an exercise to be more than navel-gazing, I firmly believe that it has to come with consideration of what each thesis implies for action; whenever you take a hit like this, assessing your possibilities for control and response is always going to help ground you.

“Part 1” is ambitious, but if this works out I may next look at some of the other questions floating around and what they imply for action (what if anything did the campaign and/or the DNC do wrong?  What do we gain from exploring such counterfactuals?).


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